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Francois Hollande has defeated Nicolas Sarkozy in the French presidential runoff, making him the latest EU leader to be swept aside by the crippling debt crisis. Among the first steps the President-elect is planning, is to push back against German-led austerity measures. Chancellor Angela Merkel has already invited Hollande to Berlin for talks. Asia Times roving correspondent, Pepe Escobar, says clashes over Hollande’s foreign policy are expected both in Europe and overseas. Ayn Rand was against Rockefeller, a total socialist. Ayn Rand was against fiat money, which in today’s terms would be considered anti west since the fed here in America is printing, printing, printing at zero interest. I am also sure that Ayn Rand would know that buildings do not get demolished from the bottom up by planes hitting it from the top.
“I would buy gold if prices fall to $1,100 or $1,200 an ounce.”
A pullback of this magnitude is normal.
Gold is about to have its first down year in over a decade.
At least that’s what legendary investor and billionaire Jim Rogers suggests. Rogers is considered one of the best commodity investors in the world. He was buying gold before 1999 – when prices were below $300 an ounce. Today, gold prices are over $1,600 an ounce.
The thing is the corporate farms produce ‘produce’ at a much, much more efficient and low cost that a ‘private family farm’. Live Aid was about family farms not being able to compete with corporate farms.. 10 years ago meat and fish were much more expensive then than now. Fish is being farmed indoors now in places like India for super cheap. Salmon is rarely from the sea these days. Rice is now CHEAPER than 4 years ago due to ‘over investment’. Over investment = over supply = lower prices.
As he told me this week, he thinks it’s due for a break. So is he selling here?
Before I get to his answer, let’s take the “long view” on gold. As you can see from the chart below, gold prices have surged since 2002. In fact, gold prices are up for 11 straight years, outperforming the S&P 500 by nearly 500%.
The metals may have fallen off the front page but gold is having a good year. Despite several near technical breakdowns, the yellow metal has risen in-line with the S&P 500, up over 8% year-to-date. For it’s part the most popular Silver ETF (SLV), has gained over 17%.
While impressive, these are rear view figures. What matters to investors is where we go from here.
Charles Nenner, noted market forecaster and founder of CharlesNenner.com, says both silver and gold are poised to make runs at old highs. He says he sold gold around $1,900/oz. last year in anticipation of a bearish phase.
“The cycle was down into April,” Nenner says, but reversed at the beginning of this week, a couple weeks early.
“People had to be shaken out,” he says in reference to last year’s run at all-time highs. “It cannot be that everybody makes money on gold.”
Now that we’ve culled the overenthusiastic masses Nenner is looking at a rise to the $2,500 level in the next 12 to 18 months. And his outlook for silver is even brighter.”It’s almost time to get bullish again,” Nenner says, “about two weeks or so.” From there, he’s looking for a move to all-time highs, and possibly beyond. Silver is going back to $50 but “that doesn’t mean $50 has to be the end.”
Precious metals are subject to supply and demand. Supply is really slow. Demand is driven by confidence in currencies. Lots of reasons to distrust most currencies these days. Gold is likely to stay strong for a while longer. At least until US and European governments are handed back to adults.
Gold has become an international currency. It should be important to every family to own real gold such as coins, if you cannot afford 1 oz, buy 1/4 and 1/2 oz coins. Owning real gold takes the pressure off and gives a long term peace from worry, you will feel the difference knowing you have gold in case of turmoil during these suspect times concerning the economy, jobs….